Yeovil Town
National League South | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Huish Park Stadium

Yeovil
3 - 1
Aveley

Murphy (13', 32'), Young (18')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Hughes (48')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Yeovil Town and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 1-2 Yeovil
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 1-1 Braintree
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawAveley
54.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)24.99% (0.0010000000000012 0)20.77% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 46.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36%54.64% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02%75.98% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)20.12% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)52.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)41.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)77.74% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 54.22%
    Aveley 20.77%
    Draw 24.98%
Yeovil TownDrawAveley
1-0 @ 13.29%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 54.22%
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 20.77%