National League South Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Huish Park Stadium
  • Rhys Murphy 13' goal
  • Jordan Young 18' goal
  • Rhys Murphy 32' goal
  • goal Charlee Hughes 48'

Yeovil Town vs Aveley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Yeovil Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Hampton 1 - 2 Yeovil
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Jordan Young

Aveley

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Aveley 1 - 1 Braintree
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Siju Odelusi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aveley had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Aveley win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result

Yeovil Town 54.24% (-0.01)
Draw 24.99% (+0.01)
Aveley 20.77% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.96% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.36%
Under 2.5 54.64% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.02%
Under 3.5 75.98% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 10.75%
Under 4.5 89.25%

Yeovil Town Goals

Over 0.5 79.87% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 20.12% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 47.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 52.39% (+0.01)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5 58.79% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.21% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.26% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.74% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Yeovil Town 54.22%
Draw 24.98%
Aveley 20.77%
Yeovil Town
1-0 @ 13.29%
2-0 @ 10.65%
2-1 @ 9.45%
3-0 @ 5.7% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.05% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-1 @ 2.02%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 54.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.78%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.98%
Aveley
0-1 @ 7.35% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 5.23% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.26% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.24% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 20.77%