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National League South | Gameweek 22
Dec 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
3 - 1
St Albans City

Neal (45+3' pen.), Dean (51'), Porter (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hoddle (90+4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and St Albans City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

St Albans City

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 3-2 Maidstone
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawSt Albans City
41.83% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 24.5% (-0.012 -0.01) 33.67% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 58.97% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.041000000000004 0.04)43.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.77% (0.040000000000006 0.04)66.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.95% (0.040999999999997 0.04)21.05% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.15% (0.064 0.06)53.85% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
St Albans City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.7% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)25.3% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.93% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)60.07% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 41.83%
    St Albans City 33.67%
    Draw 24.5%
Truro CityDrawSt Albans City
2-1 @ 8.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.8% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 41.83%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.5%
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
2-3 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 33.67%

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