National League South
Gameweek
19
-
Siju Odelusi
75'
-
Freddie Hockey
32'
-
Ody Alfa
65'
Aveley vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Ffootball-general-generic.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result
Aveley
33.47%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
26.05%
▲
(+0.07)
Chelmsford City
40.47%
▲
(+0.19)
Both Teams to Score:
53.61%
▼
(-0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.22%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 2.5
50.77%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 3.5
27.33%
▼
(-0.30)
Under 3.5
72.67%
▲
(+0.29)
Over 4.5
12.87%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 4.5
87.13%
▲
(+0.19)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5
71.23%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
28.76%
▲
(+0.32)
Over 1.5
35.39%
▼
(-0.41)
Under 1.5
64.6%
▲
(+0.40)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5
75.25%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
24.74%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
40.7%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
59.3%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Aveley
33.47%
Draw
26.05%
Chelmsford City
40.47%
Aveley
1-0
@
8.87%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 33.47%
2-1 @ 7.72% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.53% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 33.47%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-0 @ 7.12% ▲ (+0.10)
2-2 @ 5.39% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
Chelmsford City
0-1
@
9.94%
▲
(+0.12)
1-2 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.47%
1-2 @ 8.65% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03%
0-3 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.51% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.47%