Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Aveley	Draw	Chelmsford City
33.47% ( -0.25)	26.05% ( 0.06)	40.47% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.22% (

-0.33)

50.77% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.33% (

-0.29)

72.67% (

0.28)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.23% (

-0.32)

28.76% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.39% (

-0.4)

64.6% (

0.39)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.25% (

-0.05)

24.74% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.7% (

-0.07)

59.3% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Aveley 33.47%

Chelmsford City 40.47%

Draw 26.05%

Aveley	Draw	Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.47%	1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.05%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.03% 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 40.47%