MX23RW : Friday, May 3 16:03:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 1
Hemel Hemps.

Ibie (62'), H. (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
J. (89' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 2-0 Weston
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Dartford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 52.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawHemel Hempstead Town
52.73% (1.29 1.29) 24.65% (0.489 0.49) 22.62% (-1.778 -1.78)
Both teams to score 50.29% (-3.545 -3.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-3.691 -3.69)51.44% (3.689 3.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-3.309 -3.31)73.25% (3.31 3.31)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.91300000000001 -0.91)19.47% (0.914 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66% (-1.516 -1.52)51.33% (1.516 1.52)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-3.65 -3.65)37.54% (3.651 3.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-3.761 -3.76)74.32% (3.762 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 52.73%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 22.62%
    Draw 24.64%
AveleyDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.96% (1.37 1.37)
2-0 @ 9.78% (0.864 0.86)
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 5.34% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.075 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.143 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 52.73%
1-1 @ 11.71% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 7.31% (1.02 1.02)
2-2 @ 4.7% (-0.526 -0.53)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.16% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 5.74% (-0.461 -0.46)
0-2 @ 3.51% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.362 -0.36)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.35 -0.35)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.182 -0.18)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 22.62%

How you voted: Aveley vs Hemel Hemps.

Aveley
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0.0%
5
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Yeovil TownYeovil46298981483395
2Chelmsford CityChelmsford City4624121076433384
3Worthing4626614104723284
4Maidstone UnitedMaidstone4624111172522083
5Braintree TownBraintree4623121164422281
6Bath City4620141269511874
7Aveley462110156861773
8Farnborough TownFarnborough462012147667972
9Hampton & RichmondHampton462012146157472
10St Albans CitySt Albans City462081877671068
11Slough TownSlough4617151481691266
12Chippenham TownChippenham461614166262062
13Weston-super-MareWeston46178216674-859
14Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels461513186566-158
15Weymouth461317166064-456
16Truro CityTruro City461510215867-955
17Welling UnitedWelling United461218165671-1554
18Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd46197207376-353
19Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne461410225374-2152
20Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.461311225571-1650
21DartfordDartford461210245675-1946
22Taunton TownTaunton Town461016204471-2746
23Havant & WaterloovilleHavant & W'ville46107295292-4037
24Dover AthleticDover Athletic46415274077-3727


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