Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.