National League South | Gameweek 15

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
2 - 1
Dartford

Grant (42'), Iaciofano (72' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Coulson (40' pen.)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 0-2 Braintree
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Dartford

All competitions

Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Dartford
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Dartford
29.56% ( 0.06)	26.12% ( 0.03)	44.32% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 51.84% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.66% (

-0.1)

52.34% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.97% (

-0.09)

74.03% (

0.09)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.01)

32.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

-0.01)

68.72% (

0.02)

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.08)

23.51% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.12)

57.55% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 29.56%

Dartford 44.32%

Draw 26.12%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Dartford
1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.56%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.32%