National League South Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Scott Wagstaff 7'+7' goal
  • Swift B. 14'+14' redcard
  • goal Luke Jenkins 32'

Tonbridge Angels vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Truro City 1 - 2 Tonbridge Angels
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Oct 28, 2023 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 0 - 0 Taunton Town
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 31.05% (-0.10)
Draw 25.4% (-0.05)
Chelmsford City 43.55% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.88% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.26% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 48.74% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 29.16% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 70.84% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 14.09% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 85.91% (-0.11)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 70.66% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 29.34% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 34.68% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 65.32% (-0.03)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 77.67% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 22.32% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 44.2% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 55.8% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 31.05%
Draw 25.4%
Chelmsford City 43.55%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 31.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 9.03% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.04% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.55%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 34
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Liam Trotter 90'+6' goal
National League South Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jeremy Santos 14' goal
National League South Gameweek 36
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adebola Olowu 37' goal
  • goal Adam Coombes 50'
National League South Gameweek 15
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Joe Turner 23' goal
  • goal Simeon Jackson 61'
National League South Gameweek 33
National League South Gameweek 7
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Tom Parkinson 10'
  • goal Tom Beere 55'