National League South | Gameweek 16
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Longmead Stadium

Tonbridge Angels
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Wagstaff (7+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jenkins (32')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Truro City 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
31.05% (-0.096 -0.1)25.4% (-0.049000000000003 -0.05)43.55% (0.152 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.88% (0.125 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.26% (0.182 0.18)48.74% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (0.164 0.16)70.84% (-0.157 -0.16)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (0.027000000000001 0.03)29.34% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (0.030999999999999 0.03)65.32% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.67% (0.151 0.15)22.32% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.2% (0.224 0.22)55.8% (-0.218 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Tonbridge Angels 31.05%
    Chelmsford City 43.55%
    Draw 25.4%
Tonbridge AngelsDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 8.03% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.92% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 31.05%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.55% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.03% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.36% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.51% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.68% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.77% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.018 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 43.55%

Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Chelmsford City
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Trotter (90+6')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Tonbridge Angels
1-0
Chelmsford City
Santos (14')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Chelmsford City
1-1
Tonbridge Angels
Olowu (37')
Coombes (50')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 15
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Chelmsford City
Turner (23')
Jackson (61')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 33
Tonbridge Angels
0-0
Chelmsford City