National League South Gameweek 18
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • Cody Cooke 7' goal
  • Cody Cooke 11' goal
  • Cody Cooke 90'+2' goal
  • redcard Jason Ring 90'+1'

Bath City vs Aveley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 7, 2023 7.45pm
Weymouth 1 - 5 Bath City
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Cody Cooke

Aveley

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 6, 2023 7.45pm
Aveley 2 - 1 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Siju Odelusi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result

Bath City 43.25% (+0.01)
Draw 25.4% (-0.03)
Aveley 31.34% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.01% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.37% (+0.12)
Under 2.5 48.62% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 29.26% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 70.74% (-0.11)
Over 4.5 14.16% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 85.84% (-0.08)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 77.58% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 22.42% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 44.06% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.94% (-0.08)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5 70.91% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 29.09% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 34.99% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 65.01% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Bath City 43.26%
Draw 25.4%
Aveley 31.34%
Bath City
1-0 @ 9.75% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.29% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.77% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.36% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 43.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.52% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.56% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.4%
Aveley
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 31.34%