Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 43.94%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Bath City win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.