National League South | Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Mill Field

Aveley
2 - 2
Welling United

Odelusi (42' pen.), Ogunrinde (45+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Abrahams (34' pen.), Adom (58')
Charles-Cook (39')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Aveley 3-4 Farnborough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 4-2 Welling United
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawWelling United
64.41% (-1.703 -1.7)19.39% (0.292 0.29)16.2% (1.419 1.42)
Both teams to score 56.54% (2.501 2.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (1.583 1.58)37.76% (-1.574 -1.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (1.675 1.68)60.01% (-1.665 -1.67)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)11.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.57% (0.025999999999996 0.03)35.43% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.58% (2.804 2.8)36.42% (-2.794 -2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.79% (2.726 2.73)73.21% (-2.717 -2.72)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 64.41%
    Welling United 16.2%
    Draw 19.39%
AveleyDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.744 -0.74)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.685 -0.68)
3-1 @ 7.24% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.548 -0.55)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.94% (-0.3 -0.3)
3-2 @ 3.65% (0.276 0.28)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.153 0.15)
5-1 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 64.41%
1-1 @ 8.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (0.375 0.38)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.313 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.39%
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.339 0.34)
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.24 0.24)
1-3 @ 1.52% (0.218 0.22)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.2%

How you voted: Aveley vs Welling United

Aveley
75.0%
Draw
0.0%
Welling United
25.0%
8