National League South Gameweek 12
Dec 4, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Mill Field
  • Siju Odelusi 42' goal
  • Emmanuel Ogunrinde 45'+1' goal
  • goal Tristan Abrahams 34'
  • redcard Reice Charles-Cook 39'
  • goal Kain Adom 58'

Aveley vs Welling United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
Aveley 3 - 4 Farnborough
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Siju Odelusi

Welling United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 2, 2023 3.00pm
Weston 4 - 2 Welling United
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Tristan Abrahams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 64.41%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 16.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Aveley 64.41% (-1.71)
Draw 19.39% (+0.30)
Welling United 16.2% (+1.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.54% (+2.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.24% (+1.59)
Under 2.5 37.76% (-1.58)
Over 3.5 40% (+1.68)
Under 3.5 60.01% (-1.67)
Over 4.5 22.14% (+1.33)
Under 4.5 77.87% (-1.32)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5 88.93% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 11.07% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 64.57% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 35.43% (-0.02)

Welling United Goals

Over 0.5 63.58% (+2.81)
Under 0.5 36.42% (-2.80)
Over 1.5 26.79% (+2.73)
Under 1.5 73.21% (-2.72)

Score analysis

Aveley 64.41%
Draw 19.39%
Welling United 16.2%
Aveley
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.77% (-0.75)
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.69)
3-1 @ 7.24% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.17% (-0.55)
4-1 @ 3.98% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.94% (-0.31)
3-2 @ 3.65% (+0.28)
4-2 @ 2.01% (+0.16)
5-1 @ 1.75% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.74% (-0.14)
Other @ 4.43%
Total : 64.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.96% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.98% (+0.38)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.32)
3-3 @ 1.23% (+0.18)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.39%
Welling United
1-2 @ 4.53% (+0.34)
0-1 @ 4.07% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.06% (+0.16)
2-3 @ 1.68% (+0.24)
1-3 @ 1.52% (+0.22)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.2%