National League South Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Luke Jenkins 3' goal
  • Finley Barbrook 84' goal

Chelmsford City vs Torquay United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
St Albans City 2 - 1 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
Torquay Utd 3 - 2 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Bradley Ash

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result

Chelmsford City 42.73% (-0.11)
Draw 24.87% (+0.10)
Torquay United 32.39% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.25% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.09% (-0.41)
Under 2.5 45.91% (+0.42)
Over 3.5 31.78% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 68.22% (+0.39)
Over 4.5 15.92% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 84.08% (+0.28)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 78.49% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 21.51% (+0.23)
Over 1.5 45.44% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 54.56% (+0.35)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 72.93% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 27.07% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 37.56% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 62.44% (+0.26)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 42.73%
Draw 24.87%
Torquay United 32.4%
Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.95% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.87% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.52% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.35% (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.69% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.82% (+0.11)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.87%
Torquay United
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 7.61% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 4.97% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.56% (-0.04)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 32.4%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 9
Sep 9, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • 6' goal
  • Brett McGavin 56' goal
  • Samir Carruthers 90'+4' goal
  • goal Ben Brookes 86'