Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.