National League South Gameweek 23
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Ryan Hanson 16' goal
  • Ethon Archer 23' goal
  • Dean Moxey 89' goal
  • Brett McGavin 90' redcard
  • goal Joe Iaciofano 6'
  • goal Kyle Ajayi 12'

Torquay United vs Hemel Hempstead Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Torquay Utd 3 - 1 Weymouth
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Bradley Ash

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Havant & W'ville 2 - 0 Hemel Hemps.
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
George Williams

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result

Torquay United 53.07% (+0.41)
Draw 23.49% (-0.08)
Hemel Hempstead Town 23.44% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.91% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.18% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.81% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 31.87% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 68.13% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.98% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.01% (-0.01)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 82.77% (+0.15)
Under 0.5 17.22% (-0.15)
Over 1.5 52.48% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 47.51% (-0.27)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5 66.34% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 33.66% (+0.29)
Over 1.5 29.69% (-0.32)
Under 1.5 70.31% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Torquay United 53.06%
Draw 23.49%
Hemel Hempstead Town 23.44%
Torquay United
1-0 @ 10.19% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.77% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.97% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.73% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.52% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 53.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.1% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.49%
Hemel Hempstead Town
0-1 @ 6.31% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.05% (-0.07)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 23.44%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 10
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Vauxhall Ground
  • Tarrelle Whittaker 9' goal
  • Myles Judd 85' goal
  • Bayley Brown 87' goal
  • goal Will Jenkins-Davies 67'
  • goal Ross Marshall 84'