Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
53.07% ( 0.4)	23.49% ( -0.08)	23.44% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 54.91% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.18% (

-0)

45.81% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.87% (

-0)

68.13% (

-0)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.77% (

0.14)

17.22% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

0.26)

47.51% (

-0.26)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.34% (

-0.29)

33.66% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.69% (

-0.31)

70.31% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 53.06%

Hemel Hempstead Town 23.44%

Draw 23.49%

Torquay United	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.06%	1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.49%	0-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 23.44%