Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.