National League South | Gameweek 18

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 0
Taunton Town

McKenzie (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions

Last Game: Aveley 2-1 Hemel Hemps.
Monday, November 6 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Taunton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hemel Hempstead Town in this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Taunton Town
37.46% ( 0.02)	26.75% ( 0.02)	35.8% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.65% (

-0.1)

53.35% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.11% (

-0.09)

74.89% (

0.09)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.41% (

-0.03)

27.59% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.88% (

-0.04)

63.12% (

0.05)

Taunton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.43% (

-0.08)

28.57% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.63% (

-0.1)

64.37% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 37.45%

Taunton Town 35.8%

Draw 26.74%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Taunton Town
1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.02% Total : 37.45%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.8%