National League South | Gameweek 27

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The A2B Stadium

Worthing
2 - 3
Chelmsford City

Pearce (26', 90+6')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Hockey (1'), Ruff (18'), Francis (83')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions

Last Game: Eastbourne 0-4 Worthing
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Chelmsford City

All competitions

Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Braintree
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Chelmsford City
39.26% ( -1.78)	23.81% ( 0.11)	36.94% ( 1.67)

Both teams to score 62.18% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.06% (

-0.33)

39.94% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.7% (

-0.34)

62.3% (

0.34)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.42% (

-0.96)

20.58% (

0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.89% (

-1.54)

53.11% (

1.54)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.29% (

0.72)

21.71% (

-0.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.13% (

1.08)

54.87% (

-1.08)

Score Analysis

Worthing 39.26%

Chelmsford City 36.94%

Draw 23.8%

Worthing	Draw	Chelmsford City
2-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.24) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.23) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.15) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.26%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.8%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.23) 0-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 36.94%