National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Ollie Pearce 26' goal
  • Ollie Pearce 90'+6' goal
  • goal Freddie Hockey 1'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 18'
  • goal Jermaine Francis 83'

Worthing vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Eastbourne 0 - 4 Worthing
Goals scored
109
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 3 - 0 Braintree
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result

Worthing 39.26% (-1.78)
Draw 23.81% (+0.12)
Chelmsford City 36.94% (+1.67)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.18% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.06% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 39.94% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 37.7% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 62.3% (+0.35)
Over 4.5 20.32% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 79.68% (+0.27)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 79.42% (-0.96)
Under 0.5 20.58% (+0.96)
Over 1.5 46.89% (-1.54)
Under 1.5 53.11% (+1.54)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 78.29% (+0.72)
Under 0.5 21.71% (-0.72)
Over 1.5 45.13% (+1.08)
Under 1.5 54.87% (-1.08)

Score analysis

Worthing 39.26%
Draw 23.8%
Chelmsford City 36.94%
Worthing
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.20)
1-0 @ 7.06% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 5.58% (-0.26)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.25)
3-2 @ 3.43% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.23)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.16)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 1.16% (-0.13)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 39.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.78% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.8%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 8.24% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 6.82% (+0.25)
0-2 @ 5.21% (+0.30)
1-3 @ 4.19% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 3.32% (+0.07)
0-3 @ 2.65% (+0.21)
1-4 @ 1.6% (+0.12)
2-4 @ 1.27% (+0.06)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-90.59)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 36.94%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Liam Trotter 37' goal
  • Michael Folivi 49' goal
  • Arjanit Krasniqi 83' goal
  • Freddie Hockey 89' goal
  • goal Ollie Pearce 11'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 45'+3'
National League South Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Callum Kealy 35' goal
  • goal Kai Yearn 21'
  • goal Cameron James 24'
  • goal Tom Blackwell 59'