Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.06%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.