National League South | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Priory Lane Stadium

Eastbourne
0 - 4
Worthing

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pearce (18' pen.), Wheeler (57'), Aguiar (72'), Luque (90')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Eastbourne Borough and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-0 Eastbourne
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 26.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWorthing
26.26% (-0.347 -0.35)23.26% (-0.096 -0.1)50.48% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 58.74% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.85% (0.149 0.15)42.14% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.45% (0.149 0.15)64.55% (-0.15299999999999 -0.15)
Eastbourne Borough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.62% (-0.184 -0.18)29.38% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.63% (-0.224 -0.22)65.36% (0.22 0.22)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18% (0.215 0.22)16.81% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.21% (0.38500000000001 0.39)46.79% (-0.389 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Eastbourne Borough 26.26%
    Worthing 50.48%
    Draw 23.25%
Eastbourne BoroughDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 6.61% (-0.063 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.05% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 26.26%
1-1 @ 10.78% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.25%
1-2 @ 9.62% (0.026000000000002 0.03)
0-1 @ 8.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.061 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.72% (0.057 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.67% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.5% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.55% (0.044 0.04)
0-4 @ 2.08% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 50.48%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Worthing
3-0
Eastbourne
Rye (35'), Felix (41'), Aguiar (50')
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Eastbourne
0-2
Worthing
Vincent (40'), Pearce (75')
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Worthing
1-1
Eastbourne
Kealy (88')
Hammond (30')
Elliott (61')
rhs 2.0


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