MX23RW : Saturday, July 27 02:09:31| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 18
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
4 - 0
Worthing

Dodd (51'), Grubb (66' pen.), Bastin (86'), Reid (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Worthing.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 4-2 Welling United
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-1 Chippenham
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.5%) and 0-2 (5.94%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawWorthing
35.43% (-0.064 -0.06) 24.03% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 40.54% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (-0.187 -0.19)41.21% (0.188 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.19 -0.19)63.6% (0.191 0.19)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.93% (-0.12 -0.12)23.07% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.09% (-0.174 -0.17)56.91% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Worthing Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)20.53% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-0.108 -0.11)53.03% (0.107 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 35.43%
    Worthing 40.54%
    Draw 24.02%
Weston-super-MareDrawWorthing
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 5.09% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 35.43%
1-1 @ 10.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.048 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.94% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 40.54%

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