National League South Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • goal Dayle Grubb 33'

Dover Athletic vs Weston-super-Mare - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Dover Athletic 1 - 1 Eastbourne
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zidane Sutherland

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
St Albans City 0 - 1 Weston
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Reuben Reid

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 44.86%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result

Dover Athletic 30.9% (+0.04)
Draw 24.24% (+0.01)
Weston-super-Mare 44.86% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.77% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 43.62% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.01% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 17.52% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 82.48% (+0.01)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 73.11% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.89% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.79% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 62.21% (-0.03)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5 80.39% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 19.61% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 48.45% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 51.55% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 30.9%
Draw 24.23%
Weston-super-Mare 44.86%
Dover Athletic
2-1 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.93% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.55% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.24% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.28%
2-2 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.27% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.23%
Weston-super-Mare
1-2 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.59% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.8% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.28% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.55% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 44.86%