Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.29%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.

Result
Worthing	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
53.29% ( 0.13)	22.71% ( -0.05)	23.99% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 58.21% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.25% (

0.12)

41.75% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.84% (

0.12)

64.15% (

-0.12)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.32% (

0.09)

15.67% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.28% (

0.16)

44.72% (

-0.16)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.03% (

-0)

30.97% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.73% (

-0.01)

67.27% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Worthing 53.29%

Havant & Waterlooville 23.99%

Draw 22.71%

Worthing	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.33% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 53.29%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.83% Total : 23.99%