Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.