Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 36.33% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Worthing
36.33% ( -0.58)	24.97% ( 0.07)	38.69% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 57.8% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

-0.35)

45.58% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.09% (

-0.34)

67.91% (

0.33)

Hampton & Richmond Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.4% (

-0.48)

24.6% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.9% (

-0.67)

59.09% (

0.67)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

0.11)

23.34% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.7% (

0.16)

57.3% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Hampton & Richmond 36.33%

Worthing 38.69%

Draw 24.97%

Hampton & Richmond	Draw	Worthing
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 36.33%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.97%	1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.13% Total : 38.69%