National League South | Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
1 - 2
Welling United

Williams (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kamara (57'), Alemanji (90+6')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-1 Farnborough
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Welling United

All competitions
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Welling United
Monday, January 22 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWelling United
56.17% (0.021999999999998 0.02)22.65% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)21.18% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Both teams to score 54.68% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.32% (0.074000000000005 0.07)44.68% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (0.073 0.07)67.04% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.033000000000001 0.03)15.73% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (0.061999999999998 0.06)44.82% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88% (0.040000000000006 0.04)35.12% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13% (0.042000000000002 0.04)71.87% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 56.17%
    Welling United 21.18%
    Draw 22.65%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.45% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.19% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.17%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.65%
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 3.02% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 21.18%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Welling United
0-1
Hemel Hemps.

Bramble (75')
Williams (79' pen.)
Matthews (45+4')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Welling United
0-1
Hemel Hemps.
Roberts (80')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Hemel Hemps.
2-3
Welling United
Castiglione (2'), Greenidge (45' pen.)
Payne (50' pen., 55'), Papadopoulos (54')
Olomowewe (66')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 29
Welling United
1-2
Hemel Hemps.
Akinyemi (48')
Nembhard (70'), Wishart (89')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 10
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Welling United
Nembhard (42')
Carr (55' pen.)