National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vauxhall Ground

Hemel Hemps.
2 - 0
Tonbridge Angels

Hill (46'), Folivi (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Chippenham 2-3 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTonbridge Angels
40.33% (-1.544 -1.54)25.93% (-0.09 -0.09)33.74% (1.632 1.63)
Both teams to score 54.07% (0.772 0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.78% (0.778 0.78)50.21% (-0.779 -0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.83% (0.687 0.69)72.17% (-0.68899999999999 -0.69)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.43% (-0.443 -0.44)24.56% (0.443 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95% (-0.627 -0.63)59.05% (0.626 0.63)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (1.438 1.44)28.32% (-1.439 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (1.78 1.78)64.05% (-1.781 -1.78)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 40.33%
    Tonbridge Angels 33.74%
    Draw 25.93%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawTonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.65% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-0 @ 6.86% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.21% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.33%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.222 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.124 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.78% (0.075999999999999 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.274 0.27)
0-2 @ 5.54% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.239 0.24)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.198 0.2)
2-3 @ 2.29% (0.14 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 33.74%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Tonbridge Angels
3-3
Hemel Hemps.
Greenidge (5'), Shields (42'), Gard (90+5' pen.)
Greenidge (79')
Brown (12'), Williams (20'), Williams (78')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Hemel Hemps.
Turner (52')
Castiglione (61')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Hemel Hemps.
1-0
Tonbridge Angels
Morgan-Griffiths (39')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 34
Hemel Hemps.
4-3
Tonbridge Angels
Fonkeu (3', 37'), Westbrook (73'), Paul (90+5')
Fasanmade (84'), Nembhard (90+6')
Perkins (31'), Taylor (54', 86')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Tonbridge Angels
1-1
Hemel Hemps.
Turner (8')
Hughes (25')