Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Dartford win was 0-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.