Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.