National League South Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Lewis Gard 51' goal
  • Lewis Gard 51' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 55' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 55' goal
  • Tariq Hinds 90' goal
  • Tariq Hinds 90'+3' goal
  • redcard James Roberts 28'
  • goal Kieran Phillips 65'

Tonbridge Angels vs Havant & Waterlooville - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Tonbridge Angels 1 - 1 Aveley
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Slough 2 - 1 Havant & W'ville
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Ryan Seager

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result

Tonbridge Angels 50.27% (+0.54)
Draw 24.4% (-0.14)
Havant & Waterlooville 25.33% (-0.41)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.05% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.07% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 47.93% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 29.89% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 70.11% (-0.21)
Over 4.5 14.6% (+0.15)
Under 4.5 85.4% (-0.15)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 80.91% (+0.31)
Under 0.5 19.09% (-0.31)
Over 1.5 49.3% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 50.7% (-0.50)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 33.19% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 30.2% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 69.8% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Tonbridge Angels 50.27%
Draw 24.39%
Havant & Waterlooville 25.33%
Tonbridge Angels
1-0 @ 10.49%
2-1 @ 9.58% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.69% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 5.29% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 4.8% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 2.19% (+0.05)
4-0 @ 1.99% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.21% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 50.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.57% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 6.34% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.39%
Havant & Waterlooville
0-1 @ 6.99% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 6.38% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 3.85% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 25.33%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Westleigh Park
  • Muhammadu Fall 86' goal
  • goal Jack Wood 23'
National League South Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Jordan Greenidge 9' goal
  • goal Muhammadu Fall 84'
National League South Gameweek 24
Jan 26, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joe Oastler 57' goal
  • goal Adam Coombes 90'+2'
National League South Gameweek 9
Nov 9, 2021 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal James Roberts 34'
National League South Gameweek 37
National League South Gameweek 21