National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
2 - 3
Hemel Hemps.

Amadi-Holloway (45+5'), Bray (63')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Williams (2', 90+2' pen.), Mitford (38')
McKenzie (59')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Chippenham
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 2-3 St Albans City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
33.38%23.48%43.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 62.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.92% (0.00099999999999767 0)39.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.59% (0.0020000000000024 0)61.4%
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.78% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.11%
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.5% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.29% (0.00099999999999767 0)49.71%
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 33.38%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 43.13%
    Draw 23.48%
Chippenham TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 7.73%
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-0 @ 4.58%
3-1 @ 3.76%
3-2 @ 3.18%
3-0 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 33.38%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 6.52%
0-0 @ 4.29%
3-3 @ 1.79%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.93%
0-1 @ 7.24%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 5.02%
2-3 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.44%
1-4 @ 2.12%
2-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.45%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 43.13%

Head to Head
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Hemel Hemps.
0-2
Chippenham
Fasanmade (15'), Williams (45+1')
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Hemel Hemps.
1-1
Chippenham
Holness (90+3')
Fasanmade (50')
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Chippenham
0-1
Hemel Hemps.
Roberts (90+4')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Hemel Hemps.
0-2
Chippenham

Nembhard (71')
Griffiths (45'), Santos (87')
Griffiths (59')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Chippenham
1-2
Hemel Hemps.
Aguiar (39')
Westbrook (45+2'), Hinds (78')