National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Road (Hemel Hempstead, Hertfordshire)

Hemel Hemps.
2 - 1
Farnborough

Hinds (76'), Judd (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fearn (15')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hemel Hempstead Town

All competitions
Last Game: Yeovil 2-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: St Albans City 2-1 Farnborough
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawFarnborough Town
27.71% (0.061 0.06)25.29% (0.013000000000002 0.01)47% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.23% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)49.97% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)71.95% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62% (0.037000000000006 0.04)32.38% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)68.89% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.72% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)21.27% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.8% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)54.2% (0.062999999999995 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Hemel Hempstead Town 27.71%
    Farnborough Town 47%
    Draw 25.29%
Hemel Hempstead TownDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 27.71%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 10.66%
1-2 @ 9.3% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.8% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 47%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Farnborough
2-1
Hemel Hemps.
Pavey (25'), Cullen (76')
Krasniqi (45')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Farnborough
1-2
Hemel Hemps.
Grant (51')
Hinds (12'), Brown (22')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Hemel Hemps.
1-0
Farnborough
Greenidge (25')