Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 47%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.25%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.