National League South | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park
Havant & Waterlooville

Farnborough
2 - 4
Havant & W'ville

Ghandour (42'), Norville-Williams (51')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Roberts (29'), Fall (43'), Jewitt-White (70'), Seager (84')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Farnborough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-1 Farnborough
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 18.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Havant & Waterlooville win it was 1-2 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawHavant & Waterlooville
59.94% (-0.655 -0.66)21.27% (0.265 0.27)18.79% (0.388 0.39)
Both teams to score 55.34% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.1% (-0.588 -0.59)41.9% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.69% (-0.593 -0.59)64.3% (0.59099999999999 0.59)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.41% (-0.384 -0.38)13.59% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.29% (-0.771 -0.77)40.71% (0.769 0.77)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.04% (0.073999999999998 0.07)35.96% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26% (0.079000000000001 0.08)72.74% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 59.94%
    Havant & Waterlooville 18.79%
    Draw 21.27%
Farnborough TownDrawHavant & Waterlooville
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.119 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.095 -0.09)
4-0 @ 3.23% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.69% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 59.94%
1-1 @ 9.98% (0.142 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.27%
1-2 @ 5.1% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 5% (0.14 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.076 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.74% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.79%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Havant & W'ville
0-1
Farnborough
Ghandour (10')
Young (89')
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Farnborough
2-2
Havant & W'ville
Norville-Williams (75'), Parsons (82')
Fall (22'), McCarthy (90+2')
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Havant & W'ville
1-0
Farnborough
McCarthy (82')