Havant & Waterlooville
National League South | Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
0 - 1
Farnborough

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ghandour (10')
Young (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 1-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawFarnborough Town
32.36% (0.666 0.67)23.37% (0.068999999999999 0.07)44.27% (-0.731 -0.73)
Both teams to score 62.62% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)38.87% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)61.18% (0.055 0.05)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (0.369 0.37)23.69% (-0.365 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19% (0.523 0.52)57.81% (-0.52 -0.52)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.06% (-0.30999999999999 -0.31)17.94% (0.315 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.23% (-0.542 -0.54)48.77% (0.545 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 32.36%
    Farnborough Town 44.27%
    Draw 23.36%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawFarnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.101 0.1)
1-0 @ 6.12% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 4.41% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.087 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.072 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.31% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 32.36%
1-1 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.79% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-1 @ 7.3% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.27% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.59% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.54% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 44.27%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Farnborough
2-2
Havant & W'ville
Fall (22'), McCarthy (90+2')
Aug 29, 2022 3pm