National League South | Gameweek 24
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road
Havant & Waterlooville

Truro City
1 - 0
Havant & W'ville

Harvey (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Truro City

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 2-3 Truro City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 3-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Havant & Waterlooville win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
60.61% (0.011000000000003 0.01)21.05% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)18.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.36% (0.027999999999999 0.03)41.64% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.96% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.04% (-0.026999999999987 -0.03)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.69% (0.012 0.01)13.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.86% (0.023999999999994 0.02)40.14% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.012 0.01)36.29% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.009999999999998 0.01)73.08% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 60.61%
    Havant & Waterlooville 18.34%
    Draw 21.05%
Truro CityDrawHavant & Waterlooville
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 6.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.38% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 3.33% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 60.61%
1-1 @ 9.87% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.05%
1-2 @ 5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 4.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 18.34%

Head to Head
Sep 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Havant & W'ville
1-3
Truro City
Fall (81')
Law (16'), Neal (37'), Dean (85')