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National League South | Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Paddy Power Park

Farnborough
1 - 1
Chelmsford City

Ghandour (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ruff (45')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Farnborough
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawChelmsford City
33.98% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08) 24.95% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 41.07% (0.119 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.49% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.19% (0.123 0.12)45.82% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.87% (0.118 0.12)68.13% (-0.113 -0.11)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.010999999999996 0.01)26.06% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (0.012999999999998 0.01)61.1% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.11199999999999 0.11)22.26% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (0.166 0.17)55.7% (-0.161 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 33.98%
    Chelmsford City 41.07%
    Draw 24.94%
Farnborough TownDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 33.98%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
1-2 @ 8.8% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.41% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (0.015 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.07%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Chelmsford City
1-0
Farnborough
Mills (45')
Apr 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Chelmsford City
3-2
Farnborough
Winfield (42'), Folivi (54', 89')
Bloomfield (9', 52')
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS


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