National League South Gameweek 29
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Hady Ghandour 25' goal
  • goal Charlie Ruff 45'

Farnborough Town vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Hampton 1 - 1 Farnborough
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Oli Pendlebury

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 1 - 0 Yeovil
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.71%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result

Farnborough Town 33.98% (-0.09)
Draw 24.95% (-0.04)
Chelmsford City 41.07% (+0.12)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.49% (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.19% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 45.82% (-0.12)
Over 3.5 31.87% (+0.12)
Under 3.5 68.13% (-0.12)
Over 4.5 15.99% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.02% (-0.08)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 26.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 38.91% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.1% (-0.01)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 77.75% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 22.26% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 44.31% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 55.7% (-0.17)

Score analysis

Farnborough Town 33.98%
Draw 24.94%
Chelmsford City 41.07%
Farnborough Town
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.8% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.25% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 33.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.92% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.8% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.33% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.94%
Chelmsford City
1-2 @ 8.8% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.55% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.41% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 3.28% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.97% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.07%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • Adam Mills 45' goal
National League South Gameweek 42
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Hawthorns
  • Dave Winfield 42' goal
  • Michael Folivi 54' goal
  • Michael Folivi 89' goal
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 9'
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 52'
National League South Gameweek 11
Sep 27, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Paddy Power Park
  • goal Harry Lodovica 84'