National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 29, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
1 - 1
Weston

Alfa (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cane (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 3-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawWeston-super-Mare
49.1% (0.11499999999999 0.11)24.43% (-0.044 -0.04)26.48% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.02% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85% (0.139 0.14)47.15% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.61% (0.129 0.13)69.39% (-0.131 -0.13)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.102 0.1)19.26% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.16800000000001 0.17)50.98% (-0.17 -0.17)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (0.016000000000005 0.02)31.85% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (0.02 0.02)68.29% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 49.09%
    Weston-super-Mare 26.48%
    Draw 24.43%
Chelmsford CityDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 10.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.52% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.57% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.99% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 26.48%

Head to Head
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Weston
0-3
Chelmsford City
Bettamer (18'), Jones (20'), Wordsworth (29')