National League South | Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
3 - 1
Tonbridge Angels

Willmott (12', 59'), Humphries (50')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Odokonyero (30')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Tonbridge Angels.

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 0-1 Bath City
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Tonbridge Angels
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 45.15%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawTonbridge Angels
45.15% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.44% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)31.41% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 61.9% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.38% (0.083000000000006 0.08)39.62% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.03% (0.085000000000001 0.09)61.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (0.039000000000001 0.04)17.88% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (0.064 0.06)48.67% (-0.064 -0.06)
Tonbridge Angels Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.043000000000006 0.04)24.61% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.058 0.06)59.12% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 45.15%
    Tonbridge Angels 31.41%
    Draw 23.43%
Weston-super-MareDrawTonbridge Angels
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 45.15%
1-1 @ 10.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.4% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.72% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.43%
1-2 @ 7.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.17% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 31.41%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Tonbridge Angels
0-1
Weston
Bastin (26')