National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 23, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jacob Mensah 45' goal
  • goal Jordan Higgs 16'
  • goal Francis Mampolo 52'

Dover Athletic vs Tonbridge Angels - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Torquay Utd 1 - 0 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zidane Sutherland

Tonbridge Angels

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
Tonbridge Angels 0 - 1 Worthing
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Jordan Greenidge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 32.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.

Result

Dover Athletic 32.62% (+0.03)
Draw 25.51% (+0.01)
Tonbridge Angels 41.87% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.16% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.34% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 48.66% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 29.22% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 70.78% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 14.14% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 85.86% (+0.02)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 71.73% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.27% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.01% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.99% (-0.02)

Tonbridge Angels Goals

Over 0.5 76.9% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 23.1% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 43.05% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 56.95% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 32.62%
Draw 25.51%
Tonbridge Angels 41.87%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 8.25% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.64% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36%
3-0 @ 2.19% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.51%
Tonbridge Angels
0-1 @ 9.57% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.43% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.87%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Lewis Gard 26' goal
National League South Gameweek 24
Jan 24, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Longmead Stadium
  • Joe Turner 7' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 16' goal
  • Jordan Greenidge 50' goal
  • Jack Wood 90' goal
National League South Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Jordan Higgs 7' goal
  • goal Tushaun Tyreece-Walters 19'
  • goal Joe Turner 56'