National League South Gameweek 25
Dec 26, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • Zidane Sutherland 68' goal
  • Iffy Allen 80' goal
  • goal Garrett Kelly 61'

Dover Athletic vs Aveley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Weymouth 1 - 1 Dover Athletic
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zidane Sutherland

Aveley

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
Aveley 0 - 2 Slough
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Siju Odelusi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result

Dover Athletic 34.01% (-0.28)
Draw 25.42% (-0.06)
Aveley 40.57% (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.88% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.09% (+0.19)
Under 2.5 47.91% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 29.91% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 70.09% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 14.61% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 85.39% (-0.12)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 72.96% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 27.04% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 37.6% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 62.4% (+0.11)

Aveley Goals

Over 0.5 76.59% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 23.41% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 42.59% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 57.41% (-0.37)

Score analysis

Dover Athletic 34.01%
Draw 25.42%
Aveley 40.57%
Dover Athletic
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.86% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.42% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.49% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.33% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.2% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
Aveley
0-1 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.73% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.67% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.22% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.23% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.53% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.17% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1% (-97.50)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 40.57%