National League South | Gameweek 26
Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
Dover Athletic

Aveley
2 - 1
Dover Athletic

Odelusi (47' pen.), Ogunrinde (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (12')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aveley

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-1 Aveley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Dover Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: Dover Athletic 2-1 Aveley
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.

Result
AveleyDrawDover Athletic
61.15% (0.015999999999998 0.02)21.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)17.36% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.83% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)45.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.007000000000005 0.01)67.54% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.71% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)14.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.92% (0.013999999999996 0.01)42.08% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)39.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)76.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 61.14%
    Dover Athletic 17.36%
    Draw 21.48%
AveleyDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 10.98%
2-0 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.94% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 6.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 3.37% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 3.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-2 @ 1.45%
5-0 @ 1.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 61.14%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.48%
0-1 @ 5.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 17.36%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Dover Athletic
2-1
Aveley
Sutherland (68'), Allen (80')
Kelly (61')