Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 61.15%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aveley would win this match.