Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.