National League South | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
1 - 0
Dover Athletic

McGavin (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Torquay United and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 2-2 Eastbourne
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Dover Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Taunton Town 1-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 65.2%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	Dover Athletic
65.2% ( 0.02)	19.8% ( -0.01)	15% ( -0)

Both teams to score 52.15% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.9% (

0.06)

42.1% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.49% (

0.06)

64.5% (

-0.06)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

0.02)

12.13% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.28% (

0.05)

37.72% (

-0.05)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.35% (

0.04)

40.64% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.76% (

0.03)

77.23% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 65.18%

Dover Athletic 15%

Draw 19.8%

Torquay United	Draw	Dover Athletic
2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 65.18%	1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.8%	0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.22% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.75% Total : 15%