Havant & Waterlooville
National League South | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Westleigh Park

Havant & W'ville
1 - 2
Weston

Roberts (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dodd (39'), Humphries (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-1 Maidstone
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League South

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 2-2 Dartford
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Weston-super-Mare in this match.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawWeston-super-Mare
34.7% (0.457 0.46)23.65% (0.111 0.11)41.66% (-0.563 -0.56)
Both teams to score 62.4% (-0.283 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.5% (-0.418 -0.42)39.5% (0.42299999999999 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.16% (-0.438 -0.44)61.84% (0.442 0.44)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (0.052999999999997 0.05)22.68% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (0.075999999999993 0.08)56.33% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.7% (-0.417 -0.42)19.3% (0.423 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.95% (-0.693 -0.69)51.05% (0.699 0.7)
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 34.7%
    Weston-super-Mare 41.66%
    Draw 23.64%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawWeston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.075 0.08)
1-0 @ 6.49% (0.137 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.82% (0.108 0.11)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.057 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.45% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 34.7%
1-1 @ 10.68% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.77% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.64%
1-2 @ 8.79% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.047 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.92% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.58% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.47% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 41.66%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Weston
1-0
Havant & W'ville
Jackson (1')