Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.03%) and 0-2 (8.69%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.