Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 52.68%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Albans City would win this match.