National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • goal Edon Pruti 22'
  • goal Millar Matthews-Lewis 55'

Bath City vs Farnborough Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bath City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Maidstone 2 - 2 Bath City
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Cody Cooke

Farnborough Town

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Farnborough 1 - 0 Welling United
Goals scored
76
Top scorer
Oli Pendlebury

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result

Bath City 36.19% (-0.03)
Draw 25.65% (+0.03)
Farnborough Town 38.16% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.43% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.36% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 48.63% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 29.25% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 70.75% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 14.15% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 85.84% (+0.08)

Bath City Goals

Over 0.5 73.9% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 26.09% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 38.85% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 61.15% (+0.10)

Farnborough Town Goals

Over 0.5 75% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 25% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 40.34% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 59.65% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Bath City 36.19%
Draw 25.64%
Farnborough Town 38.16%
Bath City
1-0 @ 8.76% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.16% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.66% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 36.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.52% (+0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.64%
Farnborough Town
0-1 @ 9.04% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.9%
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.02)
1-4 @ 1.35% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 38.16%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Paddy Power Park
  • Conor Cullen 28' goal
  • Conor Cullen 28' goal
  • Aaron Kuhl 50' goal
  • goal Elliott Frear 31'
  • goal 32'
  • goal Jack Batten 70'
National League South Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Twerton Park Stadium
  • goal Mason Bloomfield 70'
National League South Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Paddy Power Park
  • goal Alex Fletcher 50'