National League South | Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
2 - 1
Truro City

Cooke (28' pen.), Smith (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Riley-Lowe (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Truro City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bath City 3-1 St Albans City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 3-2 Truro City
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 50.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a Truro City win it was 0-1 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bath City would win this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawTruro City
50.44% (2.372 2.37)25.61% (-1.095 -1.1)23.94% (-1.279 -1.28)
Both teams to score 48.95% (1.892 1.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.03% (3.08 3.08)53.96% (-3.083 -3.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.59% (2.521 2.52)75.41% (-2.524 -2.52)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (2.357 2.36)21.42% (-2.36 -2.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.57% (3.509 3.51)54.42% (-3.513 -3.51)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.29% (0.55399999999999 0.55)37.7% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.538 0.54)74.48% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 50.44%
    Truro City 23.94%
    Draw 25.61%
Bath CityDrawTruro City
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.62 -0.62)
2-0 @ 9.59% (0.202 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.335 0.34)
3-0 @ 4.92% (0.431 0.43)
3-1 @ 4.8% (0.486 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.269 0.27)
4-0 @ 1.9% (0.284 0.28)
4-1 @ 1.85% (0.3 0.3)
4-2 @ 0.9% (0.157 0.16)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 50.44%
1-1 @ 12.13% (-0.42 -0.42)
0-0 @ 8.08% (-1.022 -1.02)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.229 0.23)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 7.88% (-0.864 -0.86)
1-2 @ 5.92% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.357 -0.36)
1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 23.94%

Head to Head
Sep 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Truro City
1-1
Bath City
Harvey (5')
Hayfield (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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