National League South | Gameweek 31
Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road
Braintree Town

Truro City
1 - 2
Braintree

Neal (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Davis (64'), Pavey (70')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 1-4 Worthing
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 31.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Truro CityDrawBraintree Town
42.88% (-0.058 -0.06)25.81% (0.015999999999998 0.02)31.31% (0.041 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.62% (-0.055 -0.05)50.38% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.68% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)72.32% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.64% (-0.051999999999992 -0.05)23.36% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.68% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)57.32% (0.073 0.07)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01%29.99% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.89%66.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 42.87%
    Braintree Town 31.31%
    Draw 25.8%
Truro CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 10.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 12.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.8%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 31.31%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
Braintree
3-2
Truro City
Stevenson (23'), Blackwell (42'), Clements (90+7')
Greenslade (52'), Neal (90+6')