Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.