Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.