National League South Gameweek 12
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • goal Jack Wadham 87'

Chelmsford City vs Worthing - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Chelmsford City 2 - 0 Aveley
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Worthing

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
Worthing 0 - 1 Braintree
Goals scored
109
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Chelmsford City 41.15% (+1.78)
Draw 26.43% (-0.03)
Worthing 32.42% (-1.75)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.1% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.42% (-0.25)
Under 2.5 52.58% (+0.25)
Over 3.5 25.76% (-0.22)
Under 3.5 74.23% (+0.22)
Over 4.5 11.84% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 88.15% (+0.14)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 74.79% (+0.84)
Under 0.5 25.2% (-0.84)
Over 1.5 40.06% (+1.14)
Under 1.5 59.94% (-1.14)

Worthing Goals

Over 0.5 69.66% (-1.26)
Under 0.5 30.34% (+1.26)
Over 1.5 33.47% (-1.53)
Under 1.5 66.53% (+1.53)

Score analysis

Chelmsford City 41.14%
Draw 26.43%
Worthing 32.42%
Chelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.53% (+0.34)
2-1 @ 8.66% (+0.20)
2-0 @ 7.26% (+0.41)
3-1 @ 3.98% (+0.19)
3-0 @ 3.34% (+0.26)
3-2 @ 2.37% (+0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.15% (+0.12)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 41.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.07)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 26.43%
Worthing
0-1 @ 9.12% (-0.24)
1-2 @ 7.5% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.34)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.22)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.22)
2-3 @ 2.05% (-0.10)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 32.42%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 27
Jan 6, 2024 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Ollie Pearce 26' goal
  • Ollie Pearce 90'+6' goal
  • goal Freddie Hockey 1'
  • goal Charlie Ruff 18'
  • goal Jermaine Francis 83'
National League South Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
4
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Hawthorns
  • Liam Trotter 37' goal
  • Michael Folivi 49' goal
  • Arjanit Krasniqi 83' goal
  • Freddie Hockey 89' goal
  • goal Ollie Pearce 11'
  • goal Ollie Pearce 45'+3'
National League South Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT The A2B Stadium
  • Callum Kealy 35' goal
  • goal Kai Yearn 21'
  • goal Cameron James 24'
  • goal Tom Blackwell 59'