National League South | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Mill Field
Weymouth

Aveley
0 - 2
Weymouth

FT(HT: 0-0)
Linton (52', 75')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Aveley and Weymouth.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aveley 0-0 Yeovil
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Torquay Utd
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 38.2%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
AveleyDrawWeymouth
38.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)25.84% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)35.96% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.75% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)49.49% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.032 0.03)71.52% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)60.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)26.63% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.13% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.87% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aveley 38.2%
    Weymouth 35.96%
    Draw 25.84%
AveleyDrawWeymouth
1-0 @ 9.27% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.41%
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.91%
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.96%

Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Weymouth
1-1
Aveley
Hughes (85' og.)
Jones (24')