Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.

Result
Weymouth	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
44.15% ( -0.28)	24.66% ( -0.14)	31.18% ( 0.43)

Both teams to score 57.43% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.56% (

0.83)

45.44% (

-0.82)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.23% (

0.78)

67.77% (

-0.78)

Weymouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.34% (

0.22)

20.67% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.75% (

0.34)

53.25% (

-0.34)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39% (

0.69)

27.61% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.86% (

0.88)

63.15% (

-0.88)

Score Analysis

Weymouth 44.15%

Hemel Hempstead Town 31.18%

Draw 24.66%

Weymouth	Draw	Hemel Hempstead Town
2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.75% Total : 44.15%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.45% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.9% Total : 31.18%