National League South Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Woodspring Stadium
  • James Dodd 83' goal

Weston-super-Mare vs Dover Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Chippenham 0 - 1 Weston
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Reuben Reid

Dover Athletic

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Dover Athletic 0 - 1 Maidstone
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Zidane Sutherland

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result

Weston-super-Mare 62.83% (-0.02)
Draw 19.84% (+0.01)
Dover Athletic 17.33% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.49% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.29% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 37.71% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40.05% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 59.95% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 22.18% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 77.82% (-0.01)

Weston-super-Mare Goals

Over 0.5 88.53% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 11.47% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 63.69%
Under 1.5 36.31% (+0.01)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 64.94% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 35.06% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 28.19% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 71.81% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Weston-super-Mare 62.83%
Draw 19.84%
Dover Athletic 17.33%
Weston-super-Mare
2-1 @ 9.88%
2-0 @ 9.43% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.13%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 62.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.13%
2-2 @ 5.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.02% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.84%
Dover Athletic
1-2 @ 4.78% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 17.33%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Perrys Crabble Stadium
  • goal Dayle Grubb 33'