Dover Athletic
National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium
Havant & Waterlooville

Dover Athletic
0 - 0
Havant & W'ville

FT

Stanley (79')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Eastbourne 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 2-1 Slough
Wednesday, March 13 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawHavant & Waterlooville
28.22% (-0.165 -0.16)24.56% (-0.061 -0.06)47.22% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.97% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.169 0.17)46.55% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.16 0.16)68.83% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.78% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)30.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.62% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)66.38% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.21% (0.167 0.17)19.79% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.14% (0.267 0.27)51.86% (-0.266 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 28.22%
    Havant & Waterlooville 47.22%
    Draw 24.56%
Dover AthleticDrawHavant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 7.16% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 28.22%
1-1 @ 11.59% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 9.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.85% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.24% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.022 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 47.22%

Head to Head
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Havant & W'ville
4-3
Dover Athletic
Seager (5'), McCarthy (12'), Phillips (50', 60')
Dunne (36' pen., 75'), Wilkinson (90+1')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Dover Athletic
1-0
Havant & W'ville
Wanadio (78')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Havant & W'ville
4-2
Dover Athletic
Fall (16', 38' pen.), McCarthy (52'), Roberts (74')
Pavey (25'), Carney (85')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 38
Havant & W'ville
0-0
Dover Athletic
Robertson (12'), Williams (25')
Robertson (36')
Lewis (31'), Reason (57'), McNamara (84')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
Dover Athletic
4-3
Havant & W'ville
Nortey (36'), Allen (67' pen.), Brundle (78'), Lokko (86')
Nortey (24')
Fogden (48'), Pavey (50'), Lewis (52')
Stock (22'), Pavey (85')