National League South | Gameweek 29

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 0
Havant & W'ville

Wanadio (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Havant & Waterlooville.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dover Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Havant & Waterlooville

All competitions

Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Dover Athletic	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
29.61% ( 0.95)	25.21% ( -0.03)	45.18% ( -0.91)

Both teams to score 54.74% (

0.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

0.62)

48.58% (

-0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

0.56)

70.7% (

-0.56)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.74% (

30.26% (

-1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.57% (

1.18)

66.43% (

-1.18)

Havant & Waterlooville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.49% (

-0.15)

21.51% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.44% (

-0.24)

54.56% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Dover Athletic 29.61%

Havant & Waterlooville 45.18%

Draw 25.21%

Dover Athletic	Draw	Havant & Waterlooville
1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.14% Total : 29.61%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 10% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 45.18%