Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.