Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hampton & Richmond win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hampton & Richmond win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hampton & Richmond would win this match.