National League South Gameweek 39
Mar 12, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Gallagher Stadium
  • Sam Corne 80' goal
  • Matt Rush 90'+6' goal
  • redcard Finley Barbrook 83'

Maidstone United vs Chelmsford City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Maidstone 1 - 2 St Albans City
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Matt Rush

Chelmsford City

All competitions
National League South
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 7.30pm
Truro City 1 - 4 Chelmsford City
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Charlie Ruff

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Maidstone United 31.34% (-0.32)
Draw 25.07% (-0.09)
Chelmsford City 43.59% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.13% (+0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.83% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 47.17% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 30.6% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 69.4% (-0.22)
Over 4.5 15.08% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 84.91% (-0.16)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5 71.63% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 28.36% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 35.9% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 64.1% (+0.12)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5 78.35% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 21.64% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 45.23% (+0.44)
Under 1.5 54.76% (-0.43)

Score analysis

Maidstone United 31.34%
Draw 25.06%
Chelmsford City 43.59%
Maidstone United
1-0 @ 7.73% (-0.10)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.13% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 31.34%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.14% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.71% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.06%
Chelmsford City
0-1 @ 9.39% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.06% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 7.19% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 4.62% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 3.67% (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.91% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.77% (+0.04)
0-4 @ 1.4% (+0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 43.59%

Head to Head

National League South Gameweek 20
Nov 20, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Melbourne Cricket Ground
  • goal Levi Amantchi 22'
National League South Gameweek 40
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jack Barham 43' goal
  • Hady Ghandour 51' goal
  • Roarie Deacon 81' goal
  • goal Simeon Jackson 84'
National League South Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Charlie Sheringham 81' goal
  • goal Dominic Odusanya 56'
  • goal Alfie Pavey 85'
National League South Gameweek 31
National League South Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2020 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Adam Morgan 49' goal
National League South Gameweek 40
Apr 13, 2020 3.00pm
The Hawthorns