Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.